Acca Profit Spreadsheet
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Hi All
I’ve been racking my brain most of the day trying to come up with a spreadsheet that generates the correct lay stakes to guarantee the expected value profit of a 6 fold acca.
After a lot of trial/error I think I’ve got something that works.
The spreadsheet can be accessed here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1gBiVP9tC1wIP-jwv_ps0uMqr-mZSPYRt-TOPkHDWHsc/edit#gid=432786789
If someone can check I’ve got this right it would be appreciated as I’d like to start doing these over the next week or so.Thanks
+0February 27, 2016 at 6:41 pm
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I made my own, it’s not too difficult and beats paying for one.
Sounds like the one on here has gone, but it worked great and more user friendly than mine!
+0You’d never share yours mate would you?
+0You aren’t wrong there… The AFC qualification games today were a gold mine!
+0I’ve just done my own thing today. Banged in loads of them into multiple accas over the next week
1.01’s 1.02s and 1.03s all on important qualifiers and not some weird Estonia Division 3 shite
+0I’ll put a sheet up soon
+0Cheers mate!
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@foreleft brilliant thanks mate
+0Take care all – I see that William Hill have altered their T’s and C’s in respect of their ACCA offer
Quote
‘Your first bet must be placed on a selection(s) with single/cumulative odds greater than 1/2 (1.5)’
Unquote+0Interesting I read that as just the bonus not the insurance but I’m probably wrong
+0I think that condition is only for the welcome bonus. It’s just been added in to the general free bet t&cs.
+0They did amend their acca refunds in some way though, I got a message about it but didn’t bother to read it
+0So William Hill Offer bigger bonuses if you extend your ACCA eg 9+ give 15% bonus etc…
Has anyone extended their calculations to longer accas and is it more profitable to do long runs?
I noticed that if you have very short odds games ie 1.01 /1.03 early in your ACCA (as I had in one of the WC Asia qualifiers) it made very little difference to the overall profit if you lay it or not.
When I have the time I’ll give it a try to extend the calculations, but if anyone has tried and wants to save me time by saving its not worth it then feel free.
+0Extending the accumulator beyond 6 legs isn’t beneficial in general. There is a trade-off between a higher bonus and probability of achieving the free bet – the latter is more important.
+0(new to this if you can’t tell haha)
Am I right in thinking with these accumulators the aim is to lose exactly 1 leg in order to hit the free bet?
Also I would appreciate someone who often does accas to tell me their average profit/loss when- 4 or less legs win, 5/6 legs win, and 6/6 legs win
Cheers
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