Acca Profit Spreadsheet
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Hi All
I’ve been racking my brain most of the day trying to come up with a spreadsheet that generates the correct lay stakes to guarantee the expected value profit of a 6 fold acca.
After a lot of trial/error I think I’ve got something that works.
The spreadsheet can be accessed here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1gBiVP9tC1wIP-jwv_ps0uMqr-mZSPYRt-TOPkHDWHsc/edit#gid=432786789
If someone can check I’ve got this right it would be appreciated as I’d like to start doing these over the next week or so.Thanks
+0February 27, 2016 at 6:41 pm
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ok guys , problem solved it was % after the FB extraction & bonus removed this & all numbers looking good . Now im going to try my first 6 will hill acca this weekend,
Once again thanks to Mark, Jez & sam for there sheets & others if i missed out as ive been trying patiently at wanting to do these & now im confident at giving it ago.
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ok guys half way through my will hill acca & going ok & seems ill be a couple of quid up on a test £15 , 80% extraction at 5% commission. ive tried looking at doing paddy’s 5 acca but looks like the sheet is a bit screwed . Also downloaded but after putting some close odds in & trying different outcomes looks like on certain outcomes i could actually lose quite a bit , could someone confirm this please as i thought would be guaranteed profit.
+0What figures are you using for the 5 leg?
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Haven’t got them with me right now. But only a few digits difference back and lay and all between 1.2 and no higher than 1.5
Have you looked at jezs google docs sheets they seem to be abit screwed . after a little play can actually be pretty profitable some scenario s where lay nothing on first leg or nothing on last bepending on results. Am i right in thinking 5 accas at paddy are much more profitable?
+0just looked at jez sheet its because a pound symbol had been entered into the stake it only needs the number entered
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Thanks madgolfer I’ll have another play later. I got the hang of 6 acca at will hills i just want to give paddy 5 acca ago and maybe betvictor and laddys. Are they all guaranteed regardless of situations Or can i encounter a loss ?
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Ok put my paddy acca on and after realized one of my legs is below 1.2 and currently layed my first leg . so first mistake and a little unsure how i can recover from this unless 2 legs lose, any suggestions welcome
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Take the loss and learn from it. Just change the sheet to have 0% extraction and you can guarantee a loss.
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Im now hoping for 2 loses lol i suppose i could just ride it out then when at 5th leg put FB extraction to 0 for a minimal loss, oh well all apart of learning process.
Thanks for your reply mark . ill not make that mistake again and im now fully understanding of the sheet (pretty simple after a few goes )
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I knew it was too early for you to know the meaning of project Zeus.
+0We may as well all stop laying. 14 consecutive leg wins at the moment in the last 4 days. Mr Hill is NOT happy!!!
+0Did my first one over the weekend and come out with just under £5 off £25 (odds drifted a fair bit for one of the legs so reduced the profit down) but the premise all seems pretty straight forwards. Also took the approach of not laying a laddies acca (thinking if it lost would could towards some mug bets) which came in as well so pretty good weekend.
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Crazy weekend, I have besiktas tonight on an acca, if they win it will be my 6th straight acca that has won at the bookies!
That covers 14games, if only I’d put a 14fold on and not layed it, i’d be in the Caribbean already!
+0That’s good going. I bummed out on my other one (bloody Gent and Shanghai Shenhua). Looking at sizing up the next one and debating whether to lay it or not…
+017 consecutive leg wins now including 3 final legs @ odds against. Exchange accounts are cleaned out!
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